The Phoenix versus the Academy

It's time for our annual "us"-versus-them Oscar predictions. Here's who we think should win this year's major categories, and who we believe the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences will actually vote for.

SHOULD WIN

Best Picture: Fargo

Best Director: Joel Coen, Fargo

Best Actor: Geoffrey Rush, Shine

Best Actress: Emily Watson, Breaking the Waves

Best Supporting Actor: William Macy, Fargo

Best Supporting Actress: Barbara Hershey, The Portrait of a Lady

Best Foreign Film: Kolya

WILL WIN

Best Picture: The English Patient

Best Director: Anthony Minghella, The English Patient

Best Actor: Geoffrey Rush, Shine

Best Actress: Diane Keaton, Marvin's Room

Best Supporting Actor: Cuba Gooding Jr., Jerry Maguire

Best Supporting Actress: Lauren Bacall, The Mirror Has Two Faces

Best Foreign Film: Prisoner of the Mountain

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Oscars

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